Does money matter in predicting future events?

Does money matter in predicting future events?

Author: Sebastian Diemer

Publisher: Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag)

ISBN: 9783954896325

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 49

View: 737

Prediction markets are online trading platforms where contracts on future events are traded with payoffs being exclusively linked to event occurrence. Scientific research has shown that market prices of such contracts imply high forecasting accuracy through effective information aggregation of dispersed knowledge. This phenomenon is related to incentives for truthful aggregation in the form of real-money or play-money rewards. The question whether real- or play-money incentives enhance higher relative forecast accuracy has been addressed by previous works with diverse findings. The current state of empirical research in his field is subject to two inherent deficiencies. First, inter-market studies suffer from market disparities and differences in the definition of underlying events. Comparisons between two different platforms (one for play-money contracts, one for real-money contracts) are potentially biased by different trading behaviour. Second, the majority of studies are based upon identical datasets of market platforms (IOWA stock exchange, Tradesports/Intrade, NewsFutures).

Secrets of the Moneylab

Secrets of the Moneylab

Author: Kay-Yut Chen

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 9781101444245

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 256

View: 468

Taking the findings of behavioral economics from the cocktail party to the boardroom. Experimental economist Kay-Yut Chen leads an economics lab at Hewlett- Packard-the first of its kind at any company. His groundbreaking research into human behavior has turned into tangible results for HP. He has saved the company millions of dollars, simply by explaining why people really do the things they do. MoneyLab offers practical lessons being put to use right now at HP and other leading companies. It explains, for instance, how to: ? Use incentives to influence employees, suppliers, and buyers ? Determine whom to trust, and how much ? Reduce the negative effects of irrational behavior by noticing patterns that don't seem logical ? Take advantage of the human tendency to game the system In the spirit of Predictably Irrational, but with a more practical approach, Chen shows how to translate the findings of behavioral economics into concrete actions to achieve new levels of success.

Information Management and Market Engineering

Information Management and Market Engineering

Author: Thomas Dreier

Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing

ISBN: 9783866440593

Category: Business

Page: 222

View: 191

The research program "Information Management and Market Engineering" focuses on the analysis and the design of electronic markets. Taking a holistic view of the conceptualization and realization of solutions, the research integrates the disciplines business administration, economics, computer science, and law. Topics of interest range from the implementation, quality assurance, and further development of electronic markets to their integration into business processes, innovative business models, and legal frameworks.

Texas Hold 'em Fish 'n' Chips

Texas Hold 'em Fish 'n' Chips

Author: Jim Hodges

Publisher: Trafford Publishing

ISBN: 9781466957138

Category: Games & Activities

Page: 245

View: 178

Texas Hold 'em, Fish 'n' Chips was written by a teacher and amateur poker player, specifically for beginners. More than an introduction to Texas Hold 'em, Fish 'n' Chips takes the guess work out of where to start and what to learn in order to lift your Texas Hold 'em no limit poker game to a new and exciting level. Texas Hold 'em poker offers players the chance to experience the world's most popular card game. A relatively easy game to learn, mastery however can become a lifetime pursuit. It is considered by many to be the ultimate poker experience combining adrenaline charged action, strategy, excitement, patience and pure thrills.

The Everything Online Poker Book

The Everything Online Poker Book

Author: Helene M Silverstein

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

ISBN: 9781605502878

Category: Games & Activities

Page: 288

View: 625

Whether you're a beginner or an intermediate player who wants to move from live games to playing online, The Everything Online Poker Book is your user-friendly guide to the fundamentals of the game, along with tips and techniques that are specific to online play This insider's guide offers step-by-step instructions and real-world tips on: - Setting up an account and making secure bets; - Finding the right site, joining a table, and navigating an online game; - Online poker etiquette; - Figuring out the stakes and other player expenses; - Avoiding cheaters; - Finding poker resources on the Internet. The popularity of online poker is exploding, with some 2 million people playing on more than 300 sites every day! Whether you're a risk-taker or a more conservative player, The Everything Online Poker Book gives you everything you need to devise a winning strategy and cash in on the online action!

The Prosperity Secret of the Ages

The Prosperity Secret of the Ages

Author: Catherine Ponder

Publisher: Lulu.com

ISBN: 9781365200335

Category: Religion

Page: 191

View: 105

You Can Have Everything! You can have everything if you know the power that is within you and then dare to use it! You have always used this power in some degree-often for failure. Now you can begin deliberately to release it for success; that is, for experiencing greater results of health, happiness and prosperity in your world. Your success power is released through your mental attitudes and your emotional reactions toward life. What you think, that you become. Think straight and life becomes straight for you. It's as simple as that. Along with using success attitudes for your own increased health, wealth and happiness, it is good to know that your success attitudes can and do help others. The specific success attitudes used by all these people and many more will be shared with you in the pages of this book. Get Your Copy Now.

Boys' Life

Boys' Life

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN:

Category:

Page: 81

View: 530

Boys' Life is the official youth magazine for the Boy Scouts of America. Published since 1911, it contains a proven mix of news, nature, sports, history, fiction, science, comics, and Scouting.

I Want to Make Money in the Stock Market

I Want to Make Money in the Stock Market

Author: Chris M. Hart

Publisher: OutskirtsPress.com

ISBN: 9781598002065

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 195

View: 328

The simple, effective techniques in this step-by-step book will teach readers how to protect their investments and understand exactly what the risks are and how to minimize them.

Hands-on Math (Second Edition), Gr. K-1, eBook

Hands-on Math (Second Edition), Gr. K-1, eBook

Author: Hank Garcia

Publisher: Creative Teaching Press

ISBN: 9781591988199

Category: Education

Page: 144

View: 817

There are over 200 engaging activities to reinforce important math skills. The activities are divided into five main sections based on NCTM national math standards: Number & Operations, Algebra, Geometry, Measurement, and Data Analysis and Probability. You'll also find bulletin board ideas and ideas for learning centers.

Numismatic Archaeology of North America

Numismatic Archaeology of North America

Author: Marjorie H. Akin

Publisher: Routledge

ISBN: 9781315521329

Category: Social Science

Page: 292

View: 494

Numismatic Archaeology of North America is the first book to provide an archaeological overview of the coins and tokens found in a wide range of North American archaeological sites. It begins with a comprehensive and well-illustrated review of the various coins and tokens that circulated in North America with descriptions of the uses for, and human behavior associated with, each type. The book contains practical sections on standardized nomenclature, photographing, cleaning, and curating coins, and discusses the impacts of looting and of working with collectors. This is an important tool for archaeologists working with coins. For numismatists and collectors, it explains the importance of archaeological context for complete analysis.